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United States fear from Chinas economy
Our first objective is to prevent a new competitor to us, and this is the thinking prevalent because of the new regional defense strategy, which require us to try to prevent any hostile power from dominating an area resources be sufficient to generate global power .. These include areas of Western Europe, East Asia, the former Soviet Union, and Southwest Asia ".
These specific ideas, summarized Paul Wolfowitz (Deputy Defense Secretary, former World Bank President cur) United States policy strategy, to ensure the continued influence and control of America to the world.
When he entered the George W. Bush and his top aides to the White House early in 2001, they have the strategic goals and clearly defined, demarcated by their previous years of the Republicans and Democrats. The objectives were to (revival of the doctrine of permanent U.S. control of the world, and strengthen the U.S. economy.
Which was advocated by the end of American leadership during the Soviet era, the end of the Cold War with the Second World Pole earlier, according to American newspapers quoted what it called "the draft official secret", was leaked in early 1992. Which said: "The main strategic goal of America will close the door to any future challenger may challenge American superiority.
Although this authoritarian political doctrine condemned by America's allies, but that the U.S. administration could not only put on the list of priorities. This became the goal is the fundamental principle of U.S. military policy since George Bush took the presidency in February 2001.
States in the grip of America:
The economy is strong and solid one of the main elements of the emergence of regional or global power in the world, since ancient times, the form-based physical infrastructure in the control of civilizations and peoples of other nations and peoples.
The economy is the most important factor in the emergence of a strong military force and wide, and it can bind other States economy, the wealthiest (the linking of the dollar economy of most countries in the world), is a critical factor in the undermining of any State (as occurred after the collapse of the Asian tigers less than two decades because of the collapse currencies), and also is considered a threat in any way used any state securities of foreign currency notes against any other country, as well as its strength in the establishment of treaties with other countries, and support governments to ensure their allegiance to the richest nations, and others.
Globally, there are a limited number of countries that managed to build an economic powerhouse in the world, for example, Germany has to support its economy very well after World War II, leading to the formation of a most important economic blocs in Europe, but their integration into the European Union, and not to allow to form a military force since the last world war, to take any role in the perspective of the formation of a regional power or global.
India is one of the countries that have strengthened its economy effectively in recent years, but its cold war with nuclear-armed rival Pakistan, are absorbed too much of its economy, as well as to penetrate the United States to India's economy and military strength, through numerous treaties, and selling weapons, and others.
Japan, which was the enemy of the United States during World War II, has become a mainstay of the American presence in the Asian region, through association with many of the treaties, military, economic, intellectual and strategy. In the absence of a significant military force, and the spread of U.S. troops on its territory on an ongoing basis, it is unlikely it becoming a superpower in the foreseeable future.
Only China seems to be a giant coming silently and determination, through the economy is enormous, and dreams and wide, and the strategy aims to link its many international countries, and alliances have become a real threat to American hegemony.
China's economic growth during the past years:
The world seemed surprised by the economic advances made by China during the past few years, as they were since 1978, began production of the economic growth rate of 9.4, reaching in the first quarter of this year at a rate of 10.2%.
Since 1982 and until 2002, increase the total output per capita by 5-fold. It also has 61 billion dollars of FDI in 2004, according to statistics, foreign trade has reached nearly 851 billion dollars to become the third largest country in the world in terms of foreign trade.
And to the strength in foreign trade, the U.S. trade deficit with China in 2005, more than 200 billion dollars.
As China has 750 billion dollars of foreign currency reserves, and is the second largest importer of oil in the world.
Comparing the other with the United States, China, and for the first time, surpassed the United States in the export of most goods technology around the world in 2004.
They also enjoyed a trade surplus with the United States worth 34 billion dollars of high-tech sector in 2004, the surplus rose in 2005 to 36 billion dollars. According to the magazine of the economic world in December 17, 2005.
And the recovery and economic growth do not find a way to stop now, as China has set up about 20 thousand industrial facility once again last year, and now has 442.000 engineer again in 2005, in addition to 48 thousand engineers holds a Master's degree, and 8 thousand doctor. Compared to 60 thousand engineers new only last year in America.
China has 252 billion dollars in U.S. Treasury bonds (in addition to 48 billion dollars in Hong Kong).
In the technology sector, China now consumes television sets, refrigerators and mobile phones more than the United States, for example, in 1996, China had 7 million mobile phones, compared with 44 million in the United States. Today, China has surpassed America in the use of mobile phones.
As China has 1 trillion dollars in personal savings, while the United States has 158 billion dollars only in it. It also includes the city of Shanghai, China 4 thousand skyscraper, which is twice the number of skyscrapers in New York City (according to The Wall Street Journal, the number of November 19, 2005).
According to the global economic forecasts, China will overtake the U.S. economy completely in all Mahaneh in 2041 at the latest.
China large ambitions:
Does not seem to dream of the Chinese economic standing at a certain extent, as China pursues a multiple approach to the development of their industrial and economic development of the near future.
For example, the site says (Asia Times) a specialist on Asia: "The source of the economic miracle in China is that Chinese cities, it includes 135 million people in 1995 only, but will grow to more than 800 million people in 2050, according to forecasts to the expectations of the population in the United Nations. "
He continues by saying: who have spent their lives in rural poverty, began to join the world economy, where economic growth has more than 10%, and gross domestic product of China doubles every seven years, and this rate can stay at the rate of increase was as long as possible to move people from agriculture, which gives low productivity, to large industrial production .. Today, the proportion of the rural population to the city in China doubled, but the middle of this century, will be the proportion of people in the countryside to the city; half. "
Regionally, China maintains good relations with the countries of the region through economic agreements extensive, and by allowing their products to pass through to the countries that benefit from effective, such as Australia, South Korea and India, countries that the U.S. is trying to link them with U.S. anti-China.
Countries in the region trying to take advantage of economic recovery in China effectively, by providing China with oil and gas, iron and wood, and other materials.
Globally, China is trying to stretch some parts of the world's oil, through the establishment of oil agreements with many countries. They accounted for the visit of President Hu Jintao's recent visit to Saudi Arabia, Nigeria and Kenya, another victory for the Chinese economy. As agreed by China and Saudi Arabia to build oil storage reserve in China, as well as a huge petrochemical project company between the two countries.
Chinese President also held an agreement with Nigeria to extract oil from the four regions.
According to Xinhua news agency: "The Nigerian side made for a Chinese oil permits extraction in 4 regions of oil fields, located two of them in the delta of the River Niger to the oil-rich, while located the other two in the territory of Lake Chad, which are conditions of the natural poor has been invested yet."
As China continues to signing oil contracts with Sudan.
And on oil cooperation between China and Sudan, the agency says: "The Chinese companies started to participate in the development of Sudan's energy hugely since the last century."
Adding that the Chinese oil company has invested until the end of 2003, equivalent to 2.7 billion U.S. dollars, and built pipeline to transport oil length of the total 150.6 km, completed the construction of a plant of annual production capacity 2.50 million tons of crude oil, as well as the construction of plants for the supply of oil, which on Sudan from an oil importer into an exporter of oil. "
During the Chinese president's trip to Kenya, China has signed trade agreements and economic and technical with Kenya, has been strengthened relations between the two countries to very high levels.
Business, increased trade between China and African countries from 10 million U.S. dollars in the fifties to about 39.7 billion dollars in 2005. Increased African exports to China 10 times, to reach 21 billion U.S. dollars.
As China direct investment to 1.25 billion dollars, and held more than 800 companies funded by China in Africa. According to the Chinese News Agency.
So far, China has lowered its debt of 10.5 billion yuan (about 1.3 billion U.S. dollars) for 31 African countries. Also eliminated tariffs on 190 categories of African exports to China, Africa's economy in order to link Beijing and its wheel.
American economic policy against China:
Does not appear that the United States currently able to do step that would cause the collapse of the Chinese economy growing strongly, but may consider other policies if called to do so.
One of the scenarios presented by the Krupp Victor (Professor in Public Administration from the Kennedy School at Harvard) that the American forces conducted a military operation against China, under any circumstances, China has to strike Taiwan declared formal independence ..
According to the theory of Victor, the U.S. forces may be used Hamladtha Barjatha and deployed in the Pacific for military strikes to China, assisted by Japan, and hopes to involve South Korea and Australia to do so. Remembering many details of the capacity of both America and China military confrontation .. But interesting to consider here what he says about China's use of Victor of the economy in striking the U.S., where he says: "The China has some trump cards, including ownership of a large bond in the U.S. Treasury." He pointed out that the exploitation of China, it will affect the U.S. economy directly.
Despite this possibility, but many political observers see the military strike as a "option of last resort" to prevent the establishment of China's great power in the world.
In response, the United States is trying to impose the laws of an international global trade on China, in order to break its economic weight, and forced to open their markets duty-free goods competition from America and the West.
Also trying to undermine the support of economic centers are trying to escape the grip of China, Ktioan, Hong Kong, as well as turn them to the Western countries against China's policy efforts to obtain a larger share of African oil. It has many of the American media and European, to describe China as a "new colonial" attempts to colonize the African countries. Because of recent decades, which was signed by Chinese President during his visit to African countries.
With Beijing rejects the charges, appears to be continuing to pursue its long-term objectives cheered by many countries in the world like a dream for the salvation of American hegemony, or as economic support to the economy of some poor countries, or developing as an economic power could be used in long-term contracts.
But the United States into consideration again to this new force, and to their credit several accounts amid expectations of almost certain that Washington must take steps against this giant of the new yellow, sooner or later.